Spirals of fear and hostility: the danger of threat assessments becoming self-fulfilling prophecies
Singapore Armed Forces
Book
Total copies: 1
For the Singapore Armed Forces (SAF) to always stand ready to be called to the defence of Singapore and herinterests, it has to take threat assessments seriously. The process of formulating those threat assessments, and thedecisions taken on follow-up actions are, however, fraught with challenges. History has provided one too manycase studies where threat assessments had turned into self-fulfilling prophecies. Singapore can ill afford the pricefor such a scenario where spirals of fear and hostility lead us down the path to war. In this essay, the author seeksto elucidate the challenges that beset the process of threat assessment and then explain how even if the challengesare overcome, circumstances can still cause it to turn into a self-fulfilling prophecy. Finally, the author explorespotential strategies that the SAF can apply to mitigate the danger of threat assessments becoming self-fulfillingprophecies.
Main title:
Spirals of fear and hostility: the danger of threat assessments becoming self-fulfilling prophecies / by ME5 (NS) Jomthip Chareonsri
Author:
Imprint:
Singapore : Sin, December 2019
Collation:
13p.
Frequency:
Monthly, December 2019
Language:
English
BRN:
130405